Polymarket Trader

lukahub

0x29e0d77fc76cfc9aa1d213c6fd8c088c13289a86

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.13K
Realized PnL: $1.41K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $3.79K
Potential profit: $341.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $743.82

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $252.61
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $15.65

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $201.9
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $892.4
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $56.25
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $905.29
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $36.94
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $518.61
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$13.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $33.07
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $416.93
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$11.93

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $56.86
Potential payout: $442.48
Potential profit: $385.62
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $246.71
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $441.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.81

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Down 4% 125 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 85% 470.59 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 43% 972.09 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 43% 972.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 24% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Up 17% 58.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Up 25% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Up 8% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 16% 62.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 61% 637.5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 1,627.46 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 1,094.28 shares