No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $20.93K
- Potential payout
- $26K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.08K
Polymarket Trader
trumpishonest
0x29e46ce23a86bf67f877bf214808def1ad0d4982
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.4K
- Realized PnL
- -$93.96K
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $14.77K
- Potential payout
- $15.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $9.55K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $449.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $449.99
No position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $244.73
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $305.22
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- User PnL
- -$392.08
No position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $60.32
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $55.19
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $679.21
- Potential payout
- $684.69
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- User PnL
- $220.47
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Heat position
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.82
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $360.06
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $260.19
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.46
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $45.67
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$215.11
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$488.65
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.82K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.46K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 13.8% 2,837.98 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 78% 1,005.3 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 21% 339.93 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 81% 23,151.52 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 95.3% 3,662.07 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 57% 389.18 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 44% 389.83 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 73% 880.37 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 93% 11 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 93% 650 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 93% 700 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 93% 4,000 shares