Polymarket Trader

ImSweating

0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.69K
Realized PnL: $2.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $317.14
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $722.66
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $36.9

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $163.3
Potential payout: $816.51
Potential profit: $653.21
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$289.9

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $26.57
Potential payout: $681.25
Potential profit: $654.69
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$45.86

No position

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $307.9
Potential payout: $387.29
Potential profit: $79.39
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $26.76

No position

Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $58.78
Potential payout: $345.77
Potential profit: $286.99
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $47.71

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $25.72
Potential payout: $343
Potential profit: $317.28
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$86.99

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $178.37
Potential payout: $310.22
Potential profit: $131.84
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $303
Potential profit: $301.94
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $11.84
Potential payout: $299.73
Potential profit: $287.89
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $58.99
Potential payout: $297.19
Potential profit: $238.2
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $40.77

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $221.11
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$6.13

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $25.23
Potential payout: $216.6
Potential profit: $191.37
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$13.45

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $184.01
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$12.83

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.9
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$18.8

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.1
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$38.26

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $47.82
Potential payout: $199.26
Potential profit: $151.44
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$59.6

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $126.65
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $43.35
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$5.25

No position

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $145.68
Potential payout: $163.69
Potential profit: $18.01
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $31.22

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $60.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $89.25
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.42
Potential profit: $147.42
User PnL: -$30.85

No position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $111.38
Potential payout: $136.68
Potential profit: $25.3
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $8.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.59

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.36

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.79

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.7

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158.12

No position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $101.7

Yes position

Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.63

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.66

Yes position

Will Celsius say "Recall" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.09

Yes position

Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

No position

Will Uber say "Safety" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.65

Yes position

Will Robinhood say "Blockchain" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.7

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.4

Yes position

Will Walmart say "SNAP" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.64

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.6

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will CAVA say "Same Store" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.62

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.99

No position

Will "Amen" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.5

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.05

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.63

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.17

No position

Will "Wild" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

No 51% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

No 50% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

No 51% 10 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

No 68% 10 shares
Will the match not air?

Yes 0.7% 40 shares
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

No 75% 20 shares
Will the match not air?

Yes 0.5% 10 shares
Will the match not air?

Yes 1% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

No 79% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

No 76% 20 shares
Will the match not air?

Yes 1% 20 shares
Will the match not air?

Yes 1% 10 shares