Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $158.06
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Polymarket Trader
0x29f0...b56f
0x29f08d9af246acd381b26fd599597e59979fb56f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $104.95
- Realized PnL
- $210.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $76.67
- Potential profit
- $73.22
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $60.71
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $52.19
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $14.33
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $7.58
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $15.23
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 4.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $7.82
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $11.43
- Potential profit
- $7.49
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.8
N
No position
Mexico leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $6.78
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $6.37
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?No 72% 2.51 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 34% 11.76 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 91% 4.4 shares
- Mexico leading at halftime?No 59% 6.78 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 96.6% 4.14 shares
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageDivision One 78% 1.55 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 99.9% 1.33 shares
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One - Map 2 WinnerDivision One 72% 3.08 shares
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageDivision One 80% 3.24 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 98.1% 4.08 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 87% 4.6 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 80% 5 shares