Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $18.87
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Polymarket Trader
0x2A02cdfC252a9562205bB950fD38bcA6166c8146-1773134995506
0x2a02cdfc252a9562205bb950fd38bca6166c8146
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.87
- Realized PnL
- -$9.1
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 65% 7.69 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 83% 24.1 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 92.8% 21.55 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 98.6% 44.77 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 53% 18.87 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 61% 16.39 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 73% 13.7 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 3.4% 29.41 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp 2% 49.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp 4% 49.96 shares