No position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $19.87K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
psychicpsychic
@Patrykgawa
0x2a1410533fe6abeeff9d124a51f023539b64e0fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.78K
- Realized PnL
- $4.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $16.38
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $87.4
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $22.61
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$12.16
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $77.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.25
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.61
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.95
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.14
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 11AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.84
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.42
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 7?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.23
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.17
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.43
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.06
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 7?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.2% 0.58 shares
- UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson 92% 5 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 1,300 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 20,000 shares
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 2,081.6 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 90.5% 110 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 57.5% 10 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23.4% 8,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23.5% 3,067.23 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23.5% 4,636.06 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23.5% 12,933.29 shares