Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $14.13
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Polymarket Trader
TheSwingState
0x2a16e270f36f5b00dd11467df36e1c3121ae6f38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $397.02
- Realized PnL
- $226.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $36.74
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $18.59
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $17.52
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$7.19
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $26.95
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $29.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $12.48
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Hawks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.38
- Potential profit
- $209.38
- User PnL
- -$98.41
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.2
- Potential profit
- $193.2
- User PnL
- -$98.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $189.57
- Potential payout
- $191
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- User PnL
- $3.18
Pistons position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.25
- Potential profit
- $124.25
- User PnL
- -$99.4
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.72
- Potential profit
- $114.72
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $19.35
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $80.66
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $17.68
Yes position
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $12.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.45
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $10.88
Yes position
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.25
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $10.08
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Suns position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
Rockets position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.91
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Knicks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Cavaliers position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 97.6% 191 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.2% 430 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 98.9% 1,199 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.9% 1,800 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.6% 1,800 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No 99.4% 1,800 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 96.3% 94.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 98.9% 753 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99.7% 246.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.6% 690 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 99.2% 400 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 99.8% 405.26 shares