No position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $54.92
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.03
Polymarket Trader
StoicArchitect
0x2a1a47feaf0d159e17b786e5c14c4ae91d3cc2f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.92
- Realized PnL
- $5.07
- Win rate
- 89.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sentinels position
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Disguised position
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 55 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.9% 230 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.9% 168 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?Yes 97% 15 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 99.9% 99 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 99.9% 19.82 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31?Yes 99.8% 32.3 shares
- Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No 99.9% 98 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No 99.7% 47.6 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?Yes 99.9% 68 shares
- Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?Up 98.9% 38.14 shares