Polymarket Trader

0x2A1EE56CF7Dba995F5cFA293F9Eb376E6Dc73cD1-1767443043937

0x2a1ee56cf7dba995f5cfa293f9eb376e6dc73cd1

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $111.61
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $100.58
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $75.2
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $64.79
Potential profit: $64.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.79

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $44.8
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$3.2

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.66
Potential profit: $45.66
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.43
Potential profit: $29.43
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $15.53
Potential payout: $27.17
Potential profit: $11.64
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $10.53

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $21.47
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $17.47
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $5.52
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.4
Potential profit: $16.4
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $14.23
Potential profit: $10.17
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$5.95

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $12.61
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
User PnL: -$9.79

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $10.67
Potential payout: $12.85
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $5.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.48
Potential profit: $9.48
User PnL: -$1.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $9.35
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.57
Potential profit: $7.57
User PnL: -$1.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 9.4% 10.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Down 89% 5.62 shares
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Yes 6% 33.33 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 31.25 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 82% 7.32 shares