Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.33
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Polymarket Trader
WalletPolBot
0x2a20cfc5814b416b28f4d729d2adceabf8a689d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $206.41
- Realized PnL
- $169.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.2%
- Current value
- $33.6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.4
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.05
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will Lime's market cap be less than $1.4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Yes position
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $46.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.98
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.25
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $580 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.58
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $29.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.23
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.65
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.49
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Y
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$4
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Y
Yes position
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $9.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.68
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.03
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.04
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Rockets
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Over position
Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Texas A&M Aggies position
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 3?No 84% 6.66 shares
- Will the announcers say "Eject" or "Ejected" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?No 68% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 3?Yes 14% 9.99 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No 90.9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 3?Yes 11% 23.76 shares
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?Yes 55.4% 20 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88% 50 shares
- Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes 23% 20 shares
- Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?No 95.5% 50 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 87% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 3?No 93.3% 11.74 shares
- Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 79.4% 11.99 shares