Coolnyul3

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $569.13
Potential profit: $568.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.25
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $411.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $431.5
Potential profit: $431.28
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$39.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $38.18
Potential payout: $379.93
Potential profit: $341.75
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $68.8
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $251.2
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $24.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $20.8
Potential payout: $310.38
Potential profit: $289.58
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $30.1
Potential payout: $288
Potential profit: $257.9
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207
Potential profit: $207
User PnL: -$29.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182
Potential profit: $182
User PnL: -$28.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $12.65
Potential payout: $173.22
Potential profit: $160.58
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $169.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $30.34
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $127.66
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $136
User PnL: -$25.98

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $125.76
Potential payout: $131
Potential profit: $5.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $87.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $114.38
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$18.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $28.12
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $86.88
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $18.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $95.93
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $10.07
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $78.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $105.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $21.56
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $66.44
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$29.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $36.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET