Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$425
Polymarket Trader
ZZ-TIC-M1
0x2a4438ccc4669d0461cfba3f07825a40519252b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.1K
- Realized PnL
- $96.47
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $4.02K
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $213.79
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$196.62
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.27
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.34
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.53
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 99.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 99.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 99.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 99.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 99.5% 233.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 5,000 shares
- Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No 99.9% 1,085 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 96.5% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 96.5% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 96.5% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 96.5% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 96.5% 40 shares