Polymarket Trader

BonesAndWormsAreMoney

0x2a563e331780b99fc3108ff9473d2d078b78216d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.46
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $72.29
Potential payout: $585.34
Potential profit: $513.05
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $27.08
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $389.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$22.92

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $319.15
Potential profit: $311.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$22.5

Michael Chandler position

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $157.89
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $132.9
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$26.54

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$16.5

Carano position

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $53.62
Potential payout: $91.74
Potential profit: $38.12
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $3.62

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Kyle Daukaus position

UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.35

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.14

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.56

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.6

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.97

Diego Lopes position

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Yes position

Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Derrick Lewis 22% 90.91 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Kyle Daukaus 25% 80 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Aiemann Zahabi 22% 90.91 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Michael Chandler 19% 157.89 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Diego Lopes 59% 50.85 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 51% 58.82 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 190.48 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 54.5% 91.74 shares
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Carano 21% 95.24 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 19% 52.63 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 319.15 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 22% 136.36 shares