Polymarket Trader

PaveR

0x2a630772ca2872581cb0ab26961d309ccf032eb3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $214.44
Realized PnL: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.18K
Potential profit: $12.18K
User PnL: -$519.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.27K
Potential profit: $6.27K
User PnL: -$324.99

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$98.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $921.31
Potential profit: $921.31
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Obama federally charged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $685.14
Potential profit: $685.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $683.26
Potential profit: $683.26
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 22-24 ET?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.78
Potential profit: $451.78
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $38.97
Potential payout: $410.17
Potential profit: $371.21
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$76.03

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $130.72
Potential payout: $390.21
Potential profit: $259.49
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$79.28

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.36
Potential profit: $366.36
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.9
Potential profit: $343.9
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.46
Potential profit: $271.46
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.9
Potential profit: $246.9
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $42.44
Potential payout: $223.39
Potential profit: $180.95
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Tucker Carlson federally charged?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $206.83
Potential profit: $205.79
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$44

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.97
Potential profit: $171.97
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $263.62

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.5

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Ends Jun 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.58

No position

Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.37

Yes position

Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.86

Yes position

Will China win the 2025 International Math Olympiad?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.1

Down position

XRP Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.95

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.47

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.91

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.66

No position

Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.71

Vance position

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.27

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.31

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.83

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.56

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.78

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.62

Yes position

Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.59

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.6

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.16

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 58.5% 51.28 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 37.4% 40.12 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

No 71% 21.13 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 17.9% 223.39 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

No 61% 923.96 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 78.2% 115.06 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 32% 156.25 shares
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 79.9% 162.75 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 34% 102.94 shares
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 15% 100 shares
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 1.7% 294.12 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 52.63 shares