Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688.09
- Potential profit
- $688.09
- User PnL
- -$6.23
Polymarket Trader
0x2a664F5fEa5f5D722e1B22cf585124033eBD407C-1771787002586
0x2a664f5fea5f5d722e1b22cf585124033ebd407c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.21
- Realized PnL
- $75.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.33
- Potential profit
- $283.33
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $119.98
- Potential profit
- $118.96
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $69.13
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $57.27
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.73
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.15
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.9%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $10.68
- Multiplier
- 5.60x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.98
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 10.2% 30 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No 22% 10 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?No 16% 19.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 8% 40 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes 35% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 23?Yes 12.9% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 14.5% 11.83 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No 45% 8 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 0.3% 39.27 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?Yes 14% 20 shares