Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
EverfrostPeak
0x2a7ca944367daf6c3786d42fefb2a04a583753b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.85
- Realized PnL
- $9.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $30.85
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Solana reach $200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $80?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93% 32.26 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?Yes 99.9% 12.01 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?Yes 42% 9.52 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 99.4% 26.36 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 98.6% 26.37 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.5% 26.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 26.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 26.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.6% 26.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 26.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 26.6 shares