Polymarket Trader

JoshuaTree

0x2a7ec4d88ae4219c154f9f8df2da533759faeda0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $521.74
Realized PnL: $2.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $427.69
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $712.81
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$238.3

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.75
Potential profit: $542.75
User PnL: -$25.97

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $70.8
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$13.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.03

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.2

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.99

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.25

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.79

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.37

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.74

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.62

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.37

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.11

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.97

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.73

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.8

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.96

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.04

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.66

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.17

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.11

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.38

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

O/U 3.5 Rounds AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

68.4% 70.95 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 68.7% 145.51 shares
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Yes 81.8% 61.14 shares
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 57% 100 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 53.1% 190 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

No 69% 80 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 29% 40 shares
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 40% 250 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Yes 86% 30 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 271.43 shares