No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $856.99
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.74K
Polymarket Trader
PolyWAWA1
0x2a8d80b52ef511b121950241a953ae3208dbf710
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.75K
- Realized PnL
- $752.91
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $846.49
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$825.75
No position
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $42.62
- Potential payout
- $767.95
- Potential profit
- $725.33
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$279.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Giants position
Browns vs. Giants
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.41
No position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.3
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Chargers
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.99
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.88
Yes position
Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.2
Zverev position
US Open: Zverev vs. Nakashima
Ends Sep 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Sinner position
US Open: Sinner vs. Paul
Ends Sep 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.29
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the match be a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will Georgia Win?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
Ends Sep 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.49
No position
Will Spain Win?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Slovenia position
Portugal vs. Slovenia - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Yes position
Solana above $150 on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.48
No position
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 52.9% 453.77 shares
- Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 26% 73.12 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 44.9% 278.52 shares
- Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 44% 437.67 shares
- Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 43% 257.16 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 63% 77.3 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 67% 189.64 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 84% 859.42 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 73% 672.25 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 72% 98.07 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 59% 107.08 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 59% 24.71 shares