DoomPosting-Enjoyer

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $358.04
Potential payout: $5.73K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$42.27

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$37.27

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$133.25

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $58.75
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $954.25
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$52.68

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $905
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $93
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $907
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $942.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$62.5

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $26.55
Potential payout: $899.98
Potential profit: $873.43
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $77.74
Potential payout: $740.39
Potential profit: $662.65
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$18.51

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $696.85
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$73.85

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $580
Potential profit: $536.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$31.9

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $493.49
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$43.5

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $362
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$50

No position

Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.5
Potential profit: $386.5
User PnL: -$8.12

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359.5
Potential profit: $359.5
User PnL: -$50.33

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $89.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $260.75
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$18.45

Yes position

Panama vs. England: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $289.95
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $38.61
Potential payout: $220.64
Potential profit: $182.03
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$58.13

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$21.9

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $120.75
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $14.8
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $133.2
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $129.8
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.3

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $114.35
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$1.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.49

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.05

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $316.79

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.62

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.5

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.56

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.5

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.82

Yes position

Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.56

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Volodymyr Zelenskyy in jail by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?