Polymarket Trader

Undersurf

0x2a930ccd48c862dce04ecc62e3668cb5ea7d4eb3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.69
Realized PnL: $62.8
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $570.1
Potential profit: $570.1
User PnL: -$152.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Damn" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.5
Potential profit: $144.5
User PnL: -$66.65

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.69
Potential profit: $111.69
User PnL: -$64.74

No position

Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.73
Potential profit: $89.73
User PnL: -$20.43

India position

T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.23
Potential profit: $74.23
User PnL: -$18.8

No position

Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.53
Potential profit: $55.53
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.87
Potential profit: $53.87
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.1

No position

Will Trump say "New York" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$7.26

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.3
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $10.8
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.7

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.34
Potential profit: $9.34
User PnL: -$2.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.23

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

No 0.1% 350.38 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 13% 40 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

No 58% 111.69 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

No 29% 9.34 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Yes 37% 10 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 38% 20 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

No 0.7% 350.38 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 99.3% 23.38 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?

No 5% 20 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Jakub Mensik 85% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 2?

No 99.2% 5 shares