Polymarket Trader

pupailupa

0x2a9a981c3a4be07d068b517dbd06d863ddab10ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $93
Realized PnL: $673.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $8.51K
Potential profit: $8.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $480.94
Potential profit: $477.81
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $20.48
Potential profit: $11.16
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.72

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $11.48
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $9.01
Potential payout: $14.42
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $10.38
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $8.52
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $8.43
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $8.02
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $8.02
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.12

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.69

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.49

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.08

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.83

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.08

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 20.1% 50.18 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 61.7% 13.93 shares
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

No 86.3% 7.3 shares
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

No 91.8% 9.19 shares
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 12.4% 15.29 shares
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

No 32% 25.78 shares
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 1.7% 480.94 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?

Yes 99.9% 8.02 shares
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 95% 8.43 shares
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

No 99.9% 8.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 4,255 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 8,510 shares