Polymarket Trader

tonnerre

0x2aa9592b8ceec95439657020d890bde1dba4980b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.94
Realized PnL: $81.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $19.67
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $16.27
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $12.65
Potential profit: $12.05
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $7.82
Potential profit: $7.31
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.27
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 57% 1.75 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 2.99 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares