No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $8.48K
- Potential payout
- $10.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$162.5
Polymarket Trader
LevantLeverage
0x2aaa9e6d341e69387bd27e8e969b5b7ae63594e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.15K
- Realized PnL
- $8.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $826.61
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$196.11
No position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $200.47
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $31.89
No position
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $157
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $43
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.62
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $333.23
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.97
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.35
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.09
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.97
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.18
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.48
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.68
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.39
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.5% 200.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 4.6% 80.2 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 86.7% 17 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 86.7% 17 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 86.7% 40.5 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 86.4% 77.89 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 86.7% 263.27 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 86.7% 18.5 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 86.3% 126.16 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 85.9% 361.32 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 85% 60 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 79% 1.71 shares