Polymarket Trader

LIU6666B

@liu1346144

0x2ab2d3e0c47c5c7d047ca3a8749292acc075676e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $407.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$313.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.72
Potential profit: $928.72
User PnL: -$9.29

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.99
Potential profit: $94.99
User PnL: -$16.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$7.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$5.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.66
Potential profit: $26.66
User PnL: -$9.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.9
Potential profit: $19.9
User PnL: -$2.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.46
Potential profit: $19.46
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$9.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.85
Potential profit: $11.85
User PnL: -$2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.98
Potential profit: $10.98
User PnL: -$1.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $10.63
User PnL: -$9.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.01

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Down 72% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Down 38% 7.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Down 4% 25 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.5% 1,096 shares
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Yes 5% 217.03 shares
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Yes 6% 54.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 57.9% 15.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Up 16% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Up 54% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Up 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Down 80% 2.5 shares