Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $158
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $242
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$85
Polymarket Trader
cst-551
0x2ab546baec1fbf0c35212e5723f6bb6bc61d1d6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.73K
- Realized PnL
- $3.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $291.41
- Potential payout
- $348.99
- Potential profit
- $57.58
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $277.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $22.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $255.7
- Potential payout
- $259.99
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.1
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $160.09
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $155.92
- Potential payout
- $164.99
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $148.13
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $145.28
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.1%
- Current value
- $40.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59.95
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.13
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $228.36
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.2
Yes position
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.28
Yes position
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.19
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.6
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.36
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.83
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.6
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.8
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.24
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.98
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.31
Yes position
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on the European Union before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.17
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.8
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.6
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 66% 50 shares
- Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?No 99.6% 90 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 66% 14 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 85% 30 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 85% 30 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 85% 40 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 85% 50 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 84% 10 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 84% 10 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt 33% 20 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes 94.3% 20 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes 94.3% 20 shares