Polymarket Trader

supahao

0x2ac9c8bff940d0dcc3fa3aee117319dfe84b8469

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.69K
Realized PnL: $4.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $232.31
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $20.03

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $574.14
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $460.34
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$25.86

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.56
Potential profit: $689.56
User PnL: -$568.75

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$258

Yes position

Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$200

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$78

No position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$46.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.52

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.23

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.68

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.11

Yes position

Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.06

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.47

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.14

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.19

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.57

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

No position

Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.25

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.22

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.54

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

No position

Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.54

Yes position

Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.3

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.1

Yes position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

No position

Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 58% 1,034.48 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 79.9% 1,252.34 shares
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 4.3% 2,299.96 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 21% 2,363.74 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 91% 300 shares
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

No 70% 6.12 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

No 39% 200 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 0.2% 15,000 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 99.8% 107.99 shares
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 97.5% 7.16 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 99.5% 3,000 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 71% 8 shares