Polymarket Trader

hansenyang

0x2ae016b24f274d8369673733fdd96d061e40302d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $422.94
Realized PnL: $12.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$330.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$380.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$8.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$41.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$144.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$324.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$130.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$731.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $983.71
Potential profit: $983.71
User PnL: -$659.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $960.25
Potential profit: $960.25
User PnL: -$120.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $952.25
Potential profit: $952.25
User PnL: -$135.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $775.28
Potential profit: $775.28
User PnL: -$49.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $720.64
Potential profit: $720.64
User PnL: -$30.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$15.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.47
Potential profit: $639.47
User PnL: -$38.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593.1
Potential profit: $593.1
User PnL: -$205.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.78
Potential profit: $475.78
User PnL: -$14.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $422.94
Potential payout: $472.56
Potential profit: $49.62
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.13
Potential profit: $373.13
User PnL: -$139.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $962.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $838.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $775.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $755.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $675.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $440.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $423.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $420.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

No 88.6% 250.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

No 49.7% 111 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 41% 555 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 3% 600.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 8% 222.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 24% 16.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 12.2% 115.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 23% 115.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 73% 236.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

No 74.9% 564.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 285.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 77% 25 shares