No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.75
Polymarket Trader
0x2aea...2f4a
0x2aea0c084b7967ba24c8f27bb48c0e2de0ec2f4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $54.9
- Realized PnL
- -$0.4
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 5.7% 20 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 68% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 23 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 14 shares
- Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No 90.1% 5 shares
- Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes 28% 9 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 47% 20 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 43% 7 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 7.8% 20 shares