Polymarket Trader

kevinsdad1

0x2aebd958fed5aff24d3b63fddc0a4696ed8a357e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $195.78
Realized PnL: $15.51
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100.76
Potential profit: $100.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $93.36
Potential profit: $93.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $79.84
Potential profit: $75.85
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $55.22
Potential profit: $55.14
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the San Francisco 49ers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.49
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Carolina Panthers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $24.91
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $28.66
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $24.91

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $21.85
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $21.85

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $50.33
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 44.2%
Current value: $23.65
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $29.92
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $23.65

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $10.71
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $42.86
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $10.71

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $47.92
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $18.29
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $35.28
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $18.29

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Tennessee Titans in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Green Bay Packers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $18.96
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $34.61
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $18.96

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $19.12
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $34.45
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $19.12

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Miami Dolphins in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $19.29
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $34.28
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.25
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the New Orleans Saints in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.49
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 47.9%
Current value: $25.08
Potential payout: $52.36
Potential profit: $27.28
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: $25.08

Yes position

Will Dries Mertens be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Thomas Frank be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Oliver Glasner be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Mauricio Pochettino be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Brazil to win the second half?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

No position

Scotland to win the second half?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Scotland to win the second half?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Multiplier: 9.26x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Minnesota Twins winning after 5 innings?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 26?

Yes 0.6% 3.81 shares
Will John Beccia be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

Yes 0.3% 8.56 shares
Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

Yes 0.5% 12.82 shares
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 9.22 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?

No 10.6% 1.5 shares