Polymarket Trader

SATOSJO11

0x2b02ff89e1d544b9fa06bd475d0e6e25fa1a40f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.21K
Realized PnL: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $236.2
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$19.29

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $306.13
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $183.05
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $957.44
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $95.8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $280.26
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $803.91
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $120.27

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $520.62
Potential payout: $616.49
Potential profit: $95.86
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $272.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $145.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $204.75
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $48.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $234.05
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $75.95
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $119.15

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.59
Potential profit: $230.59
User PnL: -$61.56

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.65
Potential profit: $153.65
User PnL: -$28.2

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $22.55
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $87.45
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$21.35

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.11
Potential payout: $98.18
Potential profit: $77.07
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$30.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $18.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $51.45
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$6.55

No position

Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $30.62
Potential payout: $67.3
Potential profit: $36.68
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $15.42

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$36.38

No position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $36.85
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $20.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $45.93
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $9.08
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $16.93

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.46
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $46.1
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$21.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $27.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $22.75
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$20.1

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $27.45
Potential payout: $40.13
Potential profit: $12.68
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $8.21

No position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $26.6
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$17.1

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $36.57
Potential profit: $16.82
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $20.7
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.35
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $5.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.88

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.62

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.12

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.51

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.4

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.91

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.41

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.53

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.94

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.88

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.28

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $16.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 81% 1.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 94% 4.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 79% 1.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 86% 1.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 88% 1.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Down 84% 1.19 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 7.18 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 11.09 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 133.33 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 49.6% 40.11 shares