Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.13
Polymarket Trader
User96014
0x2b163d0fd09325049b5d25bcec094c85352fcbe4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.75
- Realized PnL
- $144.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $128.61
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.39
- Potential profit
- $101.39
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.29
- Potential profit
- $57.29
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $26.09
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $25.42
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.11
- Potential profit
- $21.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.3
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $16.83
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $11.64
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $16.68
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $5.92
Over position
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.53
- Potential profit
- $15.53
- User PnL
- -$15
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $14.41
- Potential payout
- $15.05
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $11.94
- Potential payout
- $14.74
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.51
- Potential payout
- $14.69
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $14.12
- Potential payout
- $14.62
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $14.12
- Potential payout
- $14.23
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $14.06
- Potential payout
- $14.14
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $11.88
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Major US official out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
No position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
No position
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Over position
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?No 95.8% 14.62 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes 95% 14.74 shares
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsToronto Blue Jays 97.8% 1.02 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?No 99.2% 30.24 shares
- Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?No 97.2% 5.14 shares
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsKansas City Royals 93.9% 5.32 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 95.9% 10.43 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 98.7% 14.69 shares
- Graham Platner charged by August 31?No 93% 10.75 shares