Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.22
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Polymarket Trader
0x2b2c...05bd
0x2b2cda5ea2fe4a3eecde298789751121c41b05bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.39
- Realized PnL
- $4.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.62
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- User PnL
- -$6.02
No position
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- User PnL
- -$4.91
DFX Peek position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $4.62
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 5?No 99.9% 4.57 shares
- Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 99.9% 4.56 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 29?Yes 99.9% 4.56 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 29?No 99.9% 4.56 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 29?No 99.9% 4.56 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?Yes 99.5% 1.9 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?No 99.9% 1.89 shares
- Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?Yes 99% 4.64 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?No 99.9% 4.58 shares
- Will Trump's remarks not air?No 99.2% 4.62 shares
- Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?No 99.9% 4.55 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 99.5% 4.57 shares