Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $28.07
- Potential payout
- $555.93
- Potential profit
- $527.86
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$11.12
Polymarket Trader
Moronnnnkat
0x2b4e1a8a0037ca6a190b29db010b7608288d9243
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.07
- Realized PnL
- $554.13
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $374
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.54
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 6.3% 315.94 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 23?No 0.1% 18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp 27% 33.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp 27% 33.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp 27% 33.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp 15.5% 566.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 67% 21.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 75% 28.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 63% 28.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 56% 16.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 55% 17 shares