Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $20.31
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $292.19
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$29.69
Polymarket Trader
4em2bjkzMGU2j
0x2b4fc76cf7101e5d47a5f32cbad99f247d81e47b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $333.28
- Realized PnL
- $37.71
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $25.32
- Potential payout
- $146.44
- Potential profit
- $121.12
- Multiplier
- 5.78x
- User PnL
- -$74.68
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $115.24
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.24
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $99.9
- Potential payout
- $118.23
- Potential profit
- $18.33
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $22.94
- Potential payout
- $93.65
- Potential profit
- $70.7
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $49.55
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $39.73
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
No position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$8.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.79
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 36% 53.19 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 56% 89.29 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 44% 94.33 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 26.7% 93.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 47% 53.19 shares
- Will Trump attend his son's wedding?No 97.3% 51.37 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 84.6% 118.23 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 72% 69.44 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 53% 94.34 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 312.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 95.2% 116.27 shares