Polymarket Trader

mikecro

0x2b5a131a902ed069112fe31c1719e72318f02e45

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $405.51
Realized PnL: $10.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.31K
Potential profit: $4.31K
User PnL: -$798.29

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$94.85

Yes position

Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$114.57

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $17.96
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$513.92

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900.18
Potential profit: $900.18
User PnL: -$61.21

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $898.22
Potential profit: $894.63
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$17.43

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $44.14
Potential payout: $781.25
Potential profit: $737.11
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$5.86

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $172.13
Potential payout: $702.58
Potential profit: $530.44
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$27.87

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.38
Potential profit: $686.38
User PnL: -$199.05

No position

Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $575.17
Potential profit: $575.17
User PnL: -$151.46

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.82
Potential profit: $460.82
User PnL: -$4.96

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.83
Potential profit: $339.83
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $118.46
Potential payout: $128.07
Potential profit: $9.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $22.44

No position

Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $33.37
Potential payout: $33.76
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $13.68

No position

Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $15.84
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.54K

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $520

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.85

No position

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.93

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $286.59

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.2

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.96

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.12

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $152.19

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.4

Yes position

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.39

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.26

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.03

No position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.89

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.64

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $29.66

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.55

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.31

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 97.5% 463.78 shares
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Yes 99.1% 512.82 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 50.7% 34.32 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 33.7% 1,724.54 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 800 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 600 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 33.4% 1,510.48 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 81% 600 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

No 42.8% 649.69 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 37.8% 2,222.36 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29.2% 1,094.91 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 34% 1,094.91 shares