Polymarket Trader

idfinsider0228

0x2b76c1d12cd928b1d95a6d2c7f1e6f6e7f14edef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.03K
Realized PnL: $174.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $49.87K
Potential profit: $42.99K
Multiplier: 7.25x
User PnL: -$892.49

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.73K
Potential payout: $33.59K
Potential profit: $3.86K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.1K

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $225.4
Potential payout: $25.04K
Potential profit: $24.82K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$2.08K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $5.83K
Potential payout: $15.55K
Potential profit: $9.72K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$233.11

Yes position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $190.95
Potential payout: $15.28K
Potential profit: $15.09K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.79K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $859.79
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $139.98

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $317.18

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $187.52
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$112.51

No position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $171.96
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $41.85

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $243.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$719.26

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.3
Potential profit: $507.3
User PnL: -$66.53

Yes position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $489.31
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$86.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.32K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.58K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37K

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83K

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71K

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71K

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35K

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 22% 1,619.6 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 68% 204.91 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 14% 1,319.72 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 15.8% 623.32 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 15.3% 2,801.14 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 99.9% 500 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 15.9% 11,233.02 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 99.9% 300 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 14.6% 2,122.58 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 15.9% 7,116.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 0.1% 3,568.85 shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 16.1% 1,100 shares