No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.11K
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- User PnL
- $71.34
Polymarket Trader
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0x2b92fe7781a6dc3d5192407ace53a0af343b6910
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.24K
- Realized PnL
- $637.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.13K
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $8.27
- User PnL
- -$2.26
No position
Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$14.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.84
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.16
No position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.59
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.78
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Yes position
Will James Gallagher win the CA-01 Special Election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Y
Yes position
Will Claude be restored for international customers by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 27, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Mother" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Mike McGuire win the CA-01 Special Election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 99.9% 2,263.86 shares
- Will Claude be restored for international customers by September 30?Yes 99.9% 4,128.52 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 98% 1,308 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 97.7% 1,619.93 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 97.4% 1,208.88 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 83.2% 0.91 shares
- Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?No 99.9% 3,168.05 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.5% 3,165.03 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 198.87 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes 93.6% 2,321.3 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes 92.6% 102.47 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes 92.5% 526.57 shares