No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- User PnL
- $6.75
Polymarket Trader
caishendaola
0x2b9667a2fa89cdb35093b641b98fb622463eee16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.03K
- Realized PnL
- $381.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.15
No position
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.1
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $22.51
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $14.44
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.93
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.79
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.5% 769 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 94% 317.53 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No 99.2% 150 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.5% 269 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 266 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.6% 267.75 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.7% 1,071 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No 99.7% 307.26 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No 99.4% 538.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No 99.7% 220.87 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 84% 721.79 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No 99.5% 220.42 shares