Polymarket Trader

garnejota

0x2b9dbf4b6e0e11309a9d6d2a09b72f65f652adc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.29K
Realized PnL: $38.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $312.5
Potential payout: $13.02K
Potential profit: $12.71K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$598.96

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $12.52K
Potential payout: $12.71K
Potential profit: $184.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $217.69
Potential payout: $12.09K
Potential profit: $11.88K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$417.98

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.69K
Potential profit: $10.69K
User PnL: -$55.58

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.11K
Potential profit: $9.11K
User PnL: -$604.36

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.29K
Potential profit: $7.29K
User PnL: -$907.72

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $566.88
Potential payout: $7.27K
Potential profit: $6.7K
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$506.59

No position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.31K
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $329.86
Potential payout: $6.17K
Potential profit: $5.84K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$366.42

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$840

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $5.37K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$100.52

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.54
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.02K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$81.84

Yes position

Will another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.43K
User PnL: -$2.29K

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.51K
User PnL: -$48.47

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $79.94
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $3.4K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$583.25

Yes position

Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$397.37

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $3.32K
User PnL: -$1.32K

No position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.29K
User PnL: -$329.06

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.94K
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $139.99
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $509.16

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3.06K
User PnL: -$333.05

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.08K

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$189

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

No position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.65

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.32

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.07

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $970.03

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 295 and 309 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $954.43

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $946.77

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $942.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 48% 2,815.48 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?

Yes 36% 200 shares
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 38.5% 802 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 90.7% 354 shares
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

No 31% 6,060 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 7% 13,020.95 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 5.3% 12,093.66 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 11.3% 6,165.54 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10.6% 200 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 14.8% 9,260.27 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 89% 1,000 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 46.7% 4,963.03 shares