Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.77K
- Potential profit
- $56.77K
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
Polymarket Trader
grinder456
0x2b9dd0a3ae93bf0d08ef733650bb9002160574f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.22K
- Realized PnL
- $18.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $12.67K
- Potential payout
- $22.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $282.67
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $74.96
- Potential payout
- $16.66K
- Potential profit
- $16.58K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$836.84
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Current value
- $11.77K
- Potential payout
- $14.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$587.2
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $330.28
- Potential payout
- $13.48K
- Potential profit
- $13.15K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $47.18
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.01K
- Potential payout
- $7.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $75.81
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $323.91
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$67.81
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- User PnL
- -$692.4
Yes position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $224.33
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $35.39
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.7
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $805.09
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$78.97
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $294.01
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $587.28
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$62.98
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.7%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- -$378.32
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $749.07
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$45.03
Yes position
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$269.24
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$105.45
No position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $546.77
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $149.38
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $17.59
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$39.78
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $178.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $293.53
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $796.82
- Potential payout
- $834.37
- Potential profit
- $37.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $209.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $793.6
- Potential payout
- $822.81
- Potential profit
- $29.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $101.4
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $241.98
- Potential payout
- $645.28
- Potential profit
- $403.3
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $16.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.16K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.15
No position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.4
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.51
No position
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.86
No position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $503.14
Rockets position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $464.88
No position
Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.7
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.35
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $376.35
Pistons position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.37
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.45
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
No position
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.97
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $222.13
Yes position
Will MOUZ win CS Asia Championships 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.94
Wolves position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.02
No position
Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 69% 89.93 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 81% 111.55 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 82% 313.9 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 81% 10.38 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 81% 34 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 81% 8.98 shares
- Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 77% 5.8 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 81% 35.64 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No 86% 26.95 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No 86% 243.18 shares
- Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 68% 5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 12 shares