Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $521.93
- Potential payout
- $8.77K
- Potential profit
- $8.25K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $21.94
Polymarket Trader
psyph3r
0x2b9f4287d2ded1e7abdfef6f7a7b0d7da507047e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13K
- Realized PnL
- $10.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95K
- Potential profit
- $5.95K
- User PnL
- -$65.99
No position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- User PnL
- -$18.99
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $491.56
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$108.43
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $539.47
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $39.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$957.89
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $267.05
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $67.05
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.72
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$15.27
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$221.68
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $74.24
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $935.86
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$25.76
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $116.82
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $792.27
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $16.82
No position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $856.28
- Potential profit
- $856.28
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $810.87
- Potential profit
- $810.87
- User PnL
- -$320
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $644.23
- Potential profit
- $644.23
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $441.62
- Potential profit
- $441.62
- User PnL
- -$317.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $112.02
- Potential payout
- $386.28
- Potential profit
- $274.26
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $12.02
No position
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.83
- Potential profit
- $279.83
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.43
- Potential profit
- $275.43
- User PnL
- -$9.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.85
- Potential profit
- $271.85
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.51
- Potential profit
- $231.51
- User PnL
- -$110
Mumbai Indians position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.04
- Potential profit
- $202.04
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.51
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.48
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.71
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $409.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.8
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.77
No position
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.47
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.33
No position
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.91
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.14
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.2
No position
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.77
New Zealand position
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.28
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.15
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $107.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 39.7% 406.24 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 50.9% 98.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 21% 434.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 48.1% 208.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 39% 559.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 25.9% 386.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 39.5% 253 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 23% 434.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes 99.9% 131.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes 76.1% 131.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 32.7% 306.01 shares