Polymarket Trader

Redpacket

0x2ba03ca09de9f778890a6d0d8e3bc5167d476bc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.47K
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $270.17K
Potential profit: $268.15K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $231.66K
Potential profit: $230.15K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.57K

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $543.89
Potential payout: $83.67K
Potential profit: $83.13K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$376.54

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.1K
Potential profit: $24.1K
User PnL: -$17.88K

$3,000 position

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $7.96K
Potential payout: $17.13K
Potential profit: $9.16K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$345.37

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.69K
Potential profit: $12.69K
User PnL: -$2.91K

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $9.37K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $625
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $215

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $650
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $360

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $949.99
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $750

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $9.25K
Potential payout: $9.97K
Potential profit: $722.9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $119.63

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$74.98

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $830
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$39.99

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.74
User PnL: $21.68

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $472.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $39.5

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $162.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $37.02
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $83.98

No position

Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $182.79
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $17.2
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$11.2

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $95.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.49
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

USDC depeg by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $93.24
Potential profit: $91.24
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $86.19
Potential profit: $84.98
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$21.89

No position

USD1 depeg by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.84

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.4

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.76

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.51

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?

Yes 87% 5 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

Yes 82% 5 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?

Yes 95% 86.2 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?

Yes 95% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?

Yes 98.8% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?

Yes 96.4% 300 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?

Yes 93.9% 400 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?

Yes 98.1% 200 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?

Yes 94% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Yes 88.7% 3.89 shares
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 87% 0.79 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?

No 91% 72.43 shares