No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $222
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.67
Polymarket Trader
d5f4gh45fd
@KasiaKonefal
0x2bac6fdbf01d2f9eac98be55373f21694610e34a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $238.3
- Realized PnL
- $373.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.85
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.13
No position
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.52
No position
Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have fewer than 17.5 million viewers?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Jumper airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Tea Dating Advice be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $130m and $150m opening weekend?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.7% 222 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?No 0.1% 20 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 20% 20 shares
- Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?No 53% 20 shares
- Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?No 57% 20 shares
- UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?No 70% 20 shares
- Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?No 85.3% 20 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.9% 20 shares
- Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No 95.8% 19.98 shares
- Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes 4% 20 shares
- Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes 3% 20 shares
- Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes 3% 20 shares