51dgfd

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $885.66
Potential profit: $880.79
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $652.64
Potential profit: $649.7
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.98
Potential profit: $310.98
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.57
Potential profit: $282.57
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.33
Potential profit: $236.33
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $214.2
Potential profit: $212.38
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Rebecca Kleefisch win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $203.59
Potential profit: $203.28
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $191.86
Potential profit: $187.93
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $107.25
Potential profit: $102.7
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $104.85
Potential profit: $104.22
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.42
Potential profit: $97.42
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $90.95
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $85.63
Potential profit: $77.96
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $77.24
Potential profit: $74.7
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $65.91
Potential profit: $65.09
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $56.17
Potential profit: $55.78
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.8
Potential profit: $50.8
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $44.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Sherry Cardoso win Top Chef Season 23?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.01
Potential profit: $37.01
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $36.21
Potential profit: $32.89
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $34.44
Potential profit: $33.82
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $31.03
Potential profit: $29.74
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $25.8
Potential profit: $22.7
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $23.74
Potential profit: $23.48
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $7.43

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.1%
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.9%
Multiplier: 8.40x
User PnL: $0.24

$1,000 position

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?