Polymarket Trader

BlueMoon3

0x2bbb23cf5ee40156ed6b6a1b103956a69cf35b0f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.23
Realized PnL: $12.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $16.48
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $10.82
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $8.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $8.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $8.1
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.61
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.72
Potential payout: $6.74
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $5.22
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-10-27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

OpenAI acquired in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Microsoft reach $705 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will another movie be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 28)

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

iPhone 16 pro costs $1,399 or more before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

No 93% 3.23 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

No 97.9% 8.17 shares
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Yes 91% 8.79 shares
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Yes 95.7% 5.22 shares
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

No 92% 10.87 shares
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

No 98.8% 8.1 shares
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

No 97.3% 14.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

No 98.1% 10.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No 97% 5.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No 98% 20.41 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99% 42.34 shares
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 500k and 600k?

No 98% 1.71 shares