Polymarket Trader

JohnGarcia2866

@Friction103198

0x2bbba060c9ce38ff9c7a47d8cf8637c8700b5c80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.67
Realized PnL: $1.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443
Potential profit: $443
User PnL: -$354.84

No position

Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259
Potential profit: $259
User PnL: -$20.72

Yes position

Will Steve be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206
Potential profit: $206
User PnL: -$12.36

Yes position

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $188
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Pepe ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $183
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179
Potential profit: $179
User PnL: -$2.51

No position

Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$94.4

Yes position

Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $149
User PnL: -$2.09

No position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $147
User PnL: -$59.54

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $147
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $144
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $54.67
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $87.33
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$48.99

Yes position

Vanta IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $138
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2025?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $133
User PnL: -$9.82

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $107
User PnL: -$16.05

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $107
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $103
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.75
Potential profit: $67.75
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$17.64

Yes position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$18.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.66

Yes position

Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.96

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.74

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.73

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.12

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.04

No position

Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.17

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.2

No position

Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.51

No position

CBB mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.68

Yes position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.32

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.17

Yes position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 9–12 years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.28

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.65

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.25

Yes position

Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Yes position

Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.12

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.88

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Yes position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.84

No position

Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.84

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $20.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 85.3% 12 shares
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 85.3% 29 shares
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 85.3% 68 shares
Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026?

No 0.7% 175 shares
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 79% 72 shares
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 79% 128 shares
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 79% 29 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 14% 598 shares
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

No 78% 413 shares
Cerebras IPO before 2027?

No 24% 243 shares
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

No 77% 148 shares
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

No 81% 561 shares