Polymarket Trader

samsgains

0x2bbfed55145eb565d4fe52b4f355e8465cd1b0ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.51K
Realized PnL: -$467.64
Win rate: 6.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $3.51K
Potential payout: $57.1K
Potential profit: $53.59K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$2.76K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.42K
Potential profit: $40.42K
User PnL: -$1.62K

Yes position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $8.1K
User PnL: -$206.2

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $5.25K
User PnL: -$629.99

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$48.6

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$101

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$73

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$331.7

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $196
User PnL: -$49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.68

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.38

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.54

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.54

Yes position

Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.77

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41.63

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$44.8

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$45.54

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$49.87

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$58.18

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$318.02

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$344.55

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$511.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 8,640.8 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 12,710.39 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 3,703.7 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 12% 1,083.33 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 12% 4,166.67 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 8,928.57 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 23,116.16 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 21% 436.67 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 1% 9,170.03 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 6.7% 634.33 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 17% 250 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 6.7% 819.85 shares