Yes position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Polymarket Trader
0x2bcf...0710
0x2bcffd47b2c8f59675ae94295744bcb8a25a0710
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $195.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $688.91
- Potential profit
- $688.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $589.26
- Potential profit
- $588.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $521.5
- Potential profit
- $521.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $502.73
- Potential payout
- $515.62
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $505.3
- Potential profit
- $504.79
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $497.3
- Potential profit
- $497.05
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $476.71
- Potential profit
- $476
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $293.08
- Potential payout
- $364.07
- Potential profit
- $70.99
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$11.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $331.46
- Potential profit
- $331.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $215.06
- Potential profit
- $214.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $79.26
- Potential payout
- $213.93
- Potential profit
- $134.67
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $209.99
- Potential profit
- $209.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $115.97
- Potential payout
- $185.56
- Potential profit
- $69.58
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$16.54
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $163.07
- Potential profit
- $162.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $94.93
- Potential payout
- $108.49
- Potential profit
- $13.56
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $103.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $97.64
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $73.35
- Potential payout
- $85.29
- Potential profit
- $11.94
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $64.69
- Potential profit
- $64.63
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.26
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
Under position
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
Y
Yes position
Portugal leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Under position
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?Yes 0.1% 1.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?Yes 0.1% 0.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 19?Yes 1% 105.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 19?Yes 1% 104 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 21?No 71% 1.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?Yes 0.1% 1,040 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?Yes 1% 104 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?Yes 1% 104 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?Yes 1% 104 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?Yes 1% 104 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?Yes 1% 105.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?Yes 0.5% 215.06 shares