Polymarket Trader

J888N

0x2be0757e12e38ac00098f721368bd91aceda5862

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $504.3
Realized PnL: $721.4
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$288.24

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $762.71
Potential profit: $762.71
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $14.53
Potential payout: $645.94
Potential profit: $631.41
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$385.47

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $230.61
Potential payout: $411.81
Potential profit: $181.2
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$69.39

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.81
Potential profit: $312.81
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $34.61
Potential payout: $209.76
Potential profit: $175.15
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$65.39

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $25.05
Potential payout: $200.4
Potential profit: $175.35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$24.95

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.43
Potential profit: $150.43
User PnL: -$39.11

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $142.03
Potential profit: $136.92
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$94.89

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $70.24
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $48.81
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$29.76

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $100.58
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $15.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $112.36
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $40.86
Potential profit: $37.12
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: -$3.15

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $19.82
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $16.55
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.25
Potential profit: $23.25
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.17
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.83

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.48

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.23

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.91

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.99

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.49

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.23

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.9

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.09

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.67

Yes position

Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Yes 72.8% 411.81 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 200.4 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 47.7% 209.76 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 16.9% 40.86 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 84% 119.05 shares
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Yes 89% 112.36 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11% 246.15 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 60.2% 332.4 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 63.8% 313.54 shares