Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $8.56
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Polymarket Trader
axeplayer1
0x2be16de28d7412e41c4b0b181c7c7778f28249cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.37
- Realized PnL
- $24.74
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $10.59
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $9.69
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $9.69
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $9.46
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $7.18
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $6.69
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.28
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- User PnL
- -$2.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 61% 5.07 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 75% 6.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 64% 5 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 22.8% 10.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 48% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7.1% 9.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14.9% 9.18 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 75.9% 7.18 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 14% 9.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 7.6 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 17% 9.94 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 10.67 shares